IMF World Economic Outlook Report (October 2025)
Current State of the World
The IMF's October 2025 World Economic Outlook The (WEO) report reveals that the global economy shows a "wave but resilient" outlook. World economy in 2025 %3,2 It is expected to grow in proportion. Although this rate was below the 2000-2019 average of 3.7% before the pandemic, it shows a partially balanced course compared to 2024.
Report, in global growth Uncertainties in trade policies, Increased geopolitical risks and The permanence of high inflation He emphasizes that there is a tendency to slow down due to it. New customs tariffs and protectionist measures, especially those imposed by the United States, limit world trade volume. In contrast, spending packages to stimulate China and Germany's domestic demand have a supportive effect in the short term.
According to the IMF, growth average in the world economy during 2025-2026 %3,1–3,2 It will stay on tape. This indicates that recovery after the pandemic has now matured, but the long-term potential growth rate has weakened.
World 2026 Future Forecasts
IMF, global growth for 2026 %3,1 It predicts. Growth in developed economies remains stable at 1.6%, while growth in developing countries %4,0 It will happen at the level.
- USA Growth forecast for 2.1%
- Euro Zone For 1.1%
- China For 4.2%
- India It is estimated to be 6.2%.
In contrast, the IMF predicts that global production growth will fall permanently in the medium term. The average growth rate during the 2027-2030 period is only %3,2 There will be. The report states that growth potential is weakening in two-thirds of the world's economy, and income convergence is slowing.
On the inflation front, global price increases in 2026 %3,7 He is expected to watch around. Oil prices per barrel in 2026 $65.8 Although its decline to its level presents a positive picture in terms of energy costs, service inflation will remain high.
Current Status of Turkey
According to the IMF report, Turkey's economy in 2025 A moderate balancing process He stands out. It is noted that monetary policy continues to tighten, but growth continues to slow.
Report for Turkey in 2025 A real growth of around 3.2% and gradual regression in inflation predicts. Cari deficit ratio compared to GDP %-1,4, while the public deficit on a limited level It is expected to stay.
The IMF is among the factors supporting Turkey's economic stability:
- Maintaining a tight stance on monetary policy,
- The export remains strong,
- Increase in tourism revenues
It emphasizes its elements.
In contrast, high global interest levels keep foreign financing costs up.
Turkey 2026 Future Forecasts
IMF projections for 2026 in Turkey's economy Slow but Stable It points to a growth trend.
- Growth of GDP: Around 3.0%
- Cari is clear: 1.3% of GDP
- Inflation: Gradient tends to fall
- Policy stance: Maintaining stability with tight monetary policy
IMF, Turkey for sustainable growth in the medium term Increasing direct investments, Diversification of exports and Structural reforms to increase efficiency It states that it must be prioritized.
Conclusion:
The IMF's latest report of October 2025 shows that it is entering a "stable but unscathed" period in the world economy. The fragmentation of trade, high public debt and low productivity growth limit global growth, while for developing countries such as Turkey cautious optimism He stands out. 2026, on a global scale Slow but balanced a Recovery and the political cohesion process It seems to be the defining year.
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