{"id":30280,"date":"2026-03-23T07:35:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T07:35:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/inovakademi.com\/?p=30280"},"modified":"2026-09-17T12:16:18","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T12:16:18","slug":"kuresel-gida-enflasyonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/inovakademi.com\/en\/kuresel-gida-enflasyonu\/","title":{"rendered":"Global Food Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Storm on the Table: How the Fertiliser Crisis, Wars, and Climate Change Blow Up Global Food Inflation.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Global food inflation<\/strong>It is entering a new period of pressure, with wars, problems in the supply of fertilizers, and climate change acting at the same time. Developments in the Strait of Hormuz, the ongoing effects of the Ukrainian-Russian war, and climate-related yield losses increase vulnerability in global food supply chains.<\/p>\n

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine's grain supply broken during the war years, and the permanent yield losses of climate change - these three shocks came into play at the same time. The result: nearly 40% increase in global fertilizer prices, breakage in food supply chains, and hard price rises felt by consumers on the market shelf in many countries, including Turkey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
%40<\/strong><\/p>\n

Global urea price increase<\/strong><\/p>\n

March 2026, according to pre-war<\/td>\n

%36,4<\/strong><\/p>\n

TR food inflation (February)<\/strong><\/p>\n

3rd place in the world<\/td>\n

1\/3<\/strong><\/p>\n

Manure passing through Hormuz<\/strong><\/p>\n

Global fertilizer trade<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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    Global Food Inflation and the Fertiliser Crisis in the Strait of Hormuz<\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    The US-Israel-Iran conflict, which began on February 28, 2026, is not only an energy crisis - it is also a direct attack on the nervous system of global agriculture. The Strait of Hormuz; Iran is the only sea outlet where Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE export fertilizer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
    Why is it so critical?<\/strong><\/p>\n

    The Gulf region accounts for about forty-nine percent of global urea exports and about thirty percent of ammonia exports. The share of natural gas in fertilizer production costs reaches eighty percent; Every conflict in the Gulf directly cuts through this chain.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    In the first week of the war, price movements were extremely harsh:<\/p>\n

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    • U.S. urea price in New Orleans port increased from $516 to $683 in one week - a thirty-two percent increase.<\/li>\n
    • Middle Eastern urea export prices rose nearly forty percent; they are sixty percent more expensive than the same period of the year.<\/li>\n
    • QatarEnergy, which operates the world's largest urea plant, stopped production due to the attack of LNG infrastructure.<\/li>\n
    • At least twenty-one ships were stranded in the Gulf, the Gulf Times reported, carrying about one million metric tons of fertilizer.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

      The chain effect quickly spread. India shut down three urea facilities; India's fertilizer dependence on the Gulf was over forty percent. Facilities were also closed in Pakistan and Bangladesh. Phosphorus and sulfur production also experienced a similar break; Gulf countries alone account for forty-four percent of the global sulfur supply.<\/p>\n

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        Effects of the Ukrainian-Russian War on Global Food Supply<\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        As the Iran war covers the headlines, the permanent damage to the agricultural systems of the Ukrainian-Russian war falls from the agenda. Whereas this four-year war remains a structural problem for global food markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
        The weight of Ukrainian agriculture in the world economy<\/strong><\/p>\n

        Ukraine is a determining supplier in the global market with a fifty percent share in sunflower oil, eighteen percent in barley, sixteen percent in corn, twelve percent in wheat. Since the start of the war, damage and losses in the agricultural sector have exceeded $83.9 billion.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

        There are several factors that aggravate the situation in the field:<\/p>\n

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        • About one million hectares of farmland are contaminated with mines and unexploded ammunition; Ukraine still has to plant part of these areas.<\/li>\n
        • With the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam, Ukraine's most extensive irrigation system collapsed.<\/li>\n
        • Russia's grain exports have reached record levels; The adverse weather conditions in Moscow's own territory pulled exports back by twenty percent in the 2025-2026 season.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

          Russia, on the other hand, has been restricting fertilizer exports since the beginning of 2022; The EU imposes additional customs duties on Russian and White Russian fertilizers from July 2025. This policy exposes the European farmer to both the Gulf and Russia fertilizer deficit at the same time.<\/p>\n

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            Structural Risks in Climate Change and Food Supply<\/h3>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

            Losses of supply caused by climate change, global food inflation<\/strong> It increases the long-term pressure on you. Wars can create temporary shocks, but the impact of climate change on agriculture is becoming more permanent every year. This is critical to explaining the structural pressure on the background of food inflation.<\/p>\n

            Extreme weather events into the global economy in the summer of 2025 $50 billion<\/strong> He suffered loss.<\/p>\n